Riding profile
Makerfield
The question
Makerfield: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.4
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMakerfield | 38.8% | 38.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +17.0 | 25.4% +13.1 | 19.3% −12.7 | 10.8% −4.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Makerfield, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 39% vote share, against 38% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Simons Elected | Labour | 18,202 | 45.2 | — |
| Robert Kenyon | Reform UK | 12,803 | 31.8 | — |
| Simon Finkelstein | Conservative | 4,379 | 10.9 | — |
| John Skipworth | Lib Dems | 2,735 | 6.8 | — |
| Maria Deery | Green | 1,776 | 4.4 | — |
| Thomas Bryer | Other | 368 | 0.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029