Riding profile
Leigh and Atherton
The question
Leigh and Atherton: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLeigh and Atherton | 39.5% | 31.9% | 12.6% | 7.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.4% +14.2 | 21.8% +10.1 | 19.3% −6.7 | 10.8% −3.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Leigh and Atherton, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 40% vote share, against 32% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jo Platt
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jo Platt Elected | Labour | 19,971 | 48.5 | — |
| George Woodward | Reform UK | 11,090 | 26.9 | — |
| Michael Winstanley | Conservative | 6,483 | 15.8 | — |
| Amelia Jones | Green | 1,653 | 4.0 | — |
| Stuart Thomas | Lib Dems | 1,597 | 3.9 | — |
| Craig Buckley | Other | 376 | 0.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029