Leigh and Atherton
Westminster constituency · England · North West
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 28%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leigh and Atherton | 40.4% | 33.9% | 13.2% | 6.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 26.5%+13.9 | 22.3%+11.6 | 20.0%−6.8 | 9.7%−3.1 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 110,496 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 40 |
| Employment rate | 68.2% |
Current member
Jo Platt · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 21.6 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 6.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jo Platt Elected | Labour | 19,971 | 48.5 |
| George Woodward | Reform UK | 11,090 | 26.9 |
| Michael Winstanley | Conservative | 6,483 | 15.8 |
| Amelia Jones | Green | 1,653 | 4.0 |
| Stuart Thomas | Lib Dems | 1,597 | 3.9 |
| Craig Buckley | Other | 376 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bolton West Labour, toss-up
- Makerfield Labour, safe seat
- Warrington North Labour, competitive
- Wigan Labour, competitive
- Worsley and Eccles Labour, safe seat
- Warrington South Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated