Riding profile
St Helens South and Whiston
The question
St Helens South and Whiston: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Other | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSt Helens South and Whiston | 36.2% | 29.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +14.3 | 25.4% +4.1 | 5.0% +6.3 | 10.8% −1.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
St Helens South and Whiston, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 36% vote share, against 29% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ms Marie Rimmer
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Rimmer Elected | Labour | 18,919 | 49.7 | — |
| Raymond Peters | Reform UK | 6,974 | 18.3 | — |
| James Tasker | Other | 4,244 | 11.2 | — |
| Emma Ellison | Conservative | 3,057 | 8.0 | — |
| Terence Price | Green | 2,642 | 7.0 | — |
| Brian Spencer | Lib Dems | 2,199 | 5.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029