Riding profile
Knowsley
The question
Knowsley: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Knowsley, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 51-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 46% vote share, against 26% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Anneliese Midgley
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 17.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereKnowsley | 46.3% | 26.1% | 14.1% | 6.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +24.6 | 25.3% +0.8 | 11.8% +2.3 | 11.6% −5.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anneliese Midgley Elected | Labour | 24,243 | 67.3 | — |
| Alexander Hitchmough | Reform UK | 5,924 | 16.4 | — |
| Graham Wickens | Green | 2,772 | 7.7 | — |
| Sherrie McDaid | Conservative | 1,496 | 4.2 | — |
| Kate Tipton | Lib Dems | 1,232 | 3.4 | — |
| Graham Padden | Other | 245 | 0.7 | — |
| Patricia Jameson | Other | 135 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029