Riding profile
Liverpool Walton
The question
Liverpool Walton: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Liverpool Walton, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 55-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 48% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Dan Carden
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 19.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLiverpool Walton | 48.3% | 26.5% | 12.4% | 6.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +26.6 | 25.3% +1.2 | 11.8% +0.6 | 11.6% −5.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Carden Elected | Labour | 26,032 | 70.6 | — |
| Joe Doran | Reform UK | 5,787 | 15.7 | — |
| Martyn Madeley | Green | 2,388 | 6.5 | — |
| Emma Ware | Conservative | 1,282 | 3.5 | — |
| Sean Cadwallader | Lib Dems | 945 | 2.6 | — |
| Billy Lake | Other | 452 | 1.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029