Riding profile
Liverpool Walton
The question
Liverpool Walton: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 24.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLiverpool Walton | 51.3% | 26.9% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +29.5 | 25.4% +1.5 | 10.8% −0.4 | 19.3% −14.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Liverpool Walton, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 55-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 51% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Dan Carden
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Carden Elected | Labour | 26,032 | 70.6 | — |
| Joe Doran | Reform UK | 5,787 | 15.7 | — |
| Martyn Madeley | Green | 2,388 | 6.5 | — |
| Emma Ware | Conservative | 1,282 | 3.5 | — |
| Sean Cadwallader | Lib Dems | 945 | 2.6 | — |
| Billy Lake | Other | 452 | 1.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029