Riding profile
Liverpool West Derby
The question
Liverpool West Derby: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Liverpool West Derby, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 54-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 46% vote share, against 23% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ian Byrne
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLiverpool West Derby | 46.1% | 23.1% | 14.1% | 6.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +24.4 | 25.3% −2.2 | 11.8% +2.2 | 4.8% +1.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Byrne Elected | Labour | 25,302 | 66.6 | — |
| Jack Boyd | Reform UK | 4,879 | 12.8 | — |
| Maria Coughlan | Green | 2,647 | 7.0 | — |
| Steve Radford | Other | 2,336 | 6.2 | — |
| Charlotte Duthie | Conservative | 1,566 | 4.1 | — |
| Kayleigh Halpin | Lib Dems | 1,276 | 3.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029