Riding profile
Liverpool Wavertree
The question
Liverpool Wavertree: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Liverpool Wavertree, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 41-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 42% vote share, against 26% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Paula Barker
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLiverpool Wavertree | 41.7% | 25.8% | 16.3% | 7.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +20.0 | 11.8% +14.0 | 25.3% −9.0 | 11.6% −4.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paula Barker Elected | Labour | 23,077 | 58.0 | — |
| Tom Crone | Green | 6,773 | 17.0 | — |
| Adam Heatherington | Reform UK | 3,454 | 8.7 | — |
| Rob McAllister-Bell | Lib Dems | 2,759 | 6.9 | — |
| Charlotte Eagar | Conservative | 1,887 | 4.7 | — |
| Ann San | Other | 1,191 | 3.0 | — |
| Mohamed El Gadhy | Other | 566 | 1.4 | — |
| Joe Owens | Other | 108 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029