Riding profile
Liverpool Garston
The question
Liverpool Garston: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Liverpool Garston, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 48-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 42% vote share, against 22% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Maria Eagle
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 18.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLiverpool Garston | 42.1% | 21.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +20.4 | 25.3% −3.8 | 11.8% +0.1 | 11.6% −1.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Eagle Elected | Labour | 24,510 | 58.4 | — |
| Kiera Hubbard | Reform UK | 4,406 | 10.5 | — |
| Sam Gorst | Other | 3,294 | 7.8 | — |
| John Hyland | Lib Dems | 3,239 | 7.7 | — |
| Daniel Bowman | Conservative | 2,943 | 7.0 | — |
| Muryam Sheikh | Green | 2,816 | 6.7 | — |
| Alan Tormey | Other | 401 | 0.9 | — |
| Jane Lawrence | Other | 272 | 0.7 | — |
| Frank Sweeney | Other | 112 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029