Riding profile
Liverpool Garston
The question
Liverpool Garston: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 25.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Other | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLiverpool Garston | 45.3% | 19.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +23.5 | 25.4% −5.5 | 5.0% +5.7 | 10.8% −1.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Liverpool Garston, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 48-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 45% vote share, against 20% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Maria Eagle
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Eagle Elected | Labour | 24,510 | 58.4 | — |
| Kiera Hubbard | Reform UK | 4,406 | 10.5 | — |
| Sam Gorst | Other | 3,294 | 7.8 | — |
| John Hyland | Lib Dems | 3,239 | 7.7 | — |
| Daniel Bowman | Conservative | 2,943 | 7.0 | — |
| Muryam Sheikh | Green | 2,816 | 6.7 | — |
| Alan Tormey | Other | 401 | 0.9 | — |
| Jane Lawrence | Other | 272 | 0.7 | — |
| Frank Sweeney | Other | 112 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029