Riding profile
Widnes and Halewood
The question
Widnes and Halewood: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Widnes and Halewood, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 43-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 40% vote share, against 32% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Derek Twigg
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWidnes and Halewood | 39.5% | 31.8% | 12.5% | 6.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +17.8 | 25.3% +6.5 | 11.8% +0.6 | 11.6% −4.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Twigg Elected | Labour | 23,484 | 61.6 | — |
| Jake Fraser | Reform UK | 7,059 | 18.5 | — |
| Sean Houlston | Conservative | 3,507 | 9.2 | — |
| Nancy Mills | Green | 2,058 | 5.4 | — |
| David Coveney | Lib Dems | 1,593 | 4.2 | — |
| Michael Murphy | Other | 415 | 1.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029