Riding profile
Widnes and Halewood
The question
Widnes and Halewood: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 8.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWidnes and Halewood | 41.6% | 33.4% | 10.6% | 6.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +19.8 | 25.4% +8.0 | 10.8% −0.2 | 19.3% −12.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Widnes and Halewood, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 43-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 42% vote share, against 33% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Derek Twigg
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Twigg Elected | Labour | 23,484 | 61.6 | — |
| Jake Fraser | Reform UK | 7,059 | 18.5 | — |
| Sean Houlston | Conservative | 3,507 | 9.2 | — |
| Nancy Mills | Green | 2,058 | 5.4 | — |
| David Coveney | Lib Dems | 1,593 | 4.2 | — |
| Michael Murphy | Other | 415 | 1.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029