Riding profile
Coventry East
The question
Coventry East: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCoventry East | 33.7% | 29.4% | 14.4% | 12.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +11.9 | 25.4% +4.1 | 19.3% −5.0 | 10.8% +2.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Coventry East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 34% vote share, against 29% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Mary Creagh
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Creagh Elected | Labour | 18,308 | 49.5 | — |
| Iddrisu Sufyan | Reform UK | 6,685 | 18.1 | — |
| Sarah Lesadd | Conservative | 6,240 | 16.9 | — |
| Stephen Gray | Green | 2,730 | 7.4 | — |
| Mike Massimi | Lib Dems | 1,227 | 3.3 | — |
| Paul Bedson | Other | 1,027 | 2.8 | — |
| Dave Nellist | Other | 797 | 2.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029