Riding profile
Coventry North West
The question
Coventry North West: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Coventry North West, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 27-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 31% vote share, against 30% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Taiwo Owatemi
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.7
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCoventry North West | 30.5% | 29.6% | 16.8% | 13.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +8.9 | 25.3% +4.2 | 18.9% −2.1 | 11.8% +1.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwo Owatemi Elected | Labour | 19,696 | 46.9 | — |
| Tom Mercer | Conservative | 8,522 | 20.3 | — |
| Holly-Mae Nelson | Reform UK | 7,950 | 18.9 | — |
| Esther Reeves | Green | 3,420 | 8.1 | — |
| Tom Holder | Lib Dems | 1,931 | 4.6 | — |
| Elizabeth Richards | Other | 511 | 1.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029