Riding profile
Nuneaton
The question
Nuneaton: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
Nuneaton, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 32% vote share, against 24% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jodie Gosling
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNuneaton | 32.1% | 24.4% | 22.6% | 12.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +6.8 | 18.9% +5.5 | 21.7% +0.9 | 11.8% +0.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jodie Gosling Elected | Labour | 15,216 | 36.9 | — |
| Marcus Jones | Conservative | 11,737 | 28.5 | — |
| Rob Howard | Reform UK | 9,059 | 22.0 | — |
| Keith Kondakor | Green | 2,894 | 7.0 | — |
| Joy Salaja | Lib Dems | 1,340 | 3.3 | — |
| John Homer | Other | 967 | 2.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029