Riding profile
Coventry South
The question
Coventry South: will Other lose this seat to Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCoventry South | 33.0% | 26.4% | 17.8% | 12.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +11.2 | 25.4% +1.0 | 19.3% −1.5 | 10.8% +1.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Coventry South, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 33% vote share, against 26% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Zarah Sultana
Sits with Other
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zarah Sultana Elected | Labour | 20,361 | 47.6 | — |
| Mattie Heaven | Conservative | 10,160 | 23.8 | — |
| Chris Baddon | Reform UK | 5,711 | 13.4 | — |
| Stephen Richmond | Lib Dems | 2,531 | 5.9 | — |
| Anne Patterson | Green | 2,363 | 5.5 | — |
| Mohammed Syed | Other | 777 | 1.8 | — |
| Alastair Mellon | Other | 334 | 0.8 | — |
| Niko Omilana | Other | 263 | 0.6 | — |
| Joshua Morland | Other | 231 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029