Riding profile
Kenilworth and Southam
The question
Kenilworth and Southam: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Editorial read
Kenilworth and Southam, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 30% vote share, against 24% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sir Jeremy Wright
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Lib Dems | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereKenilworth and Southam | 30.1% | 24.3% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +11.3 | 25.3% −1.1 | 11.6% +5.3 | 21.7% −5.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Wright Elected | Conservative | 19,395 | 36.4 | — |
| Cat Price | Labour | 12,821 | 24.1 | — |
| Jenny Wilkinson | Lib Dems | 10,464 | 19.6 | — |
| Jacqui Harris | Reform UK | 6,920 | 13.0 | — |
| Alix Dearing | Green | 3,125 | 5.9 | — |
| Nick Green | Other | 442 | 0.8 | — |
| Paul De'Ath | Other | 153 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029