Riding profile
North Warwickshire and Bedworth
The question
North Warwickshire and Bedworth: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
North Warwickshire and Bedworth, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 38% vote share, against 26% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Rachel Taylor
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorth Warwickshire and Bedworth | 38.2% | 25.5% | 21.2% | 8.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +12.8 | 18.9% +6.6 | 21.7% −0.4 | 11.8% −2.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Taylor Elected | Labour | 14,727 | 36.0 | — |
| Craig Tracey | Conservative | 12,529 | 30.6 | — |
| Paul Hopkins | Reform UK | 10,701 | 26.1 | — |
| Alison Wilson | Green | 1,755 | 4.3 | — |
| Guy Burchett | Lib Dems | 1,228 | 3.0 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029