Riding profile

Meriden and Solihull East

UK constituency — England · Mixed · west midlands

The question

Meriden and Solihull East: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Meriden and Solihull East, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 33% vote share, against 29% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Saqib Bhatti

Sits with Conservative

Since
2019-12-12
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Conservative

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
4.1
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 32.7%
  • Reform UK 28.7%
  • Labour 18.4%
  • Green 11.2%
  • Lib Dems 7.7%
  • Other 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Reform UK Labour Green
HereMeriden and Solihull East 32.7%28.7%18.4%11.2%
National averageUnited Kingdom 18.9% +13.8 25.3% +3.4 21.7% −3.2 11.8% −0.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Conservative
Margin
10.4 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-6.4 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Saqib Bhatti Elected Conservative 16,792 38.1 —
Sarah Alan Labour 12,208 27.7 —
Malcolm Sedgley Reform UK 8,753 19.9 —
Sunny Virk Lib Dems 3,353 7.6 —
Shesh Sheshabhatter Green 2,929 6.7 —

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
100,008
Median age
43
Employment rate
78.6%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029