Riding profile

Dewsbury and Batley

UK constituency — England · Urban · yorkshire and the humber

The question

Dewsbury and Batley: will Independent lose this seat to Other?

Editorial read

Dewsbury and Batley, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with another party in the previous cycle, with a 18-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another party ahead at 36% vote share, against 26% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Iqbal Mohamed

Sits with Independent

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Other

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
9.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Other 35.7%
  • Reform UK 26.0%
  • Labour 12.7%
  • Green 12.1%
  • Conservative 8.4%
  • Lib Dems 4.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Other Reform UK Labour Green
HereDewsbury and Batley 35.7%26.0%12.7%12.1%
National averageUnited Kingdom 4.8% +30.9 25.3% +0.7 21.7% −8.9 11.8% +0.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Other
Margin
18.2 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-8.5 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Iqbal Mohamed Elected Other 15,641 41.1
Heather Iqbal Labour 8,707 22.9
Johnathan Thackray Reform UK 6,152 16.2
Lalit Suryawanshi Conservative 4,182 11.0
Simon Cope Green 2,048 5.4
John Rossington Lib Dems 1,340 3.5

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
103,956
Median age
35
Employment rate
75.9%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029