Riding profile
Leeds South West and Morley
The question
Leeds South West and Morley: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
Leeds South West and Morley, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 21-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 33% vote share, against 26% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Mark Sewards
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 8.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLeeds South West and Morley | 33.1% | 26.1% | 18.6% | 11.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +7.7 | 21.7% +4.4 | 18.9% −0.3 | 11.8% −0.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sewards Elected | Labour | 17,681 | 44.0 | — |
| Andrea Jenkyns | Conservative | 9,258 | 23.0 | — |
| James Kendall | Reform UK | 8,187 | 20.4 | — |
| Chris Bell | Green | 2,522 | 6.3 | — |
| Michael Fox | Lib Dems | 1,798 | 4.5 | — |
| Howard Dews | Other | 664 | 1.6 | — |
| Nigel Perry | Other | 99 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029