Riding profile
Leeds South West and Morley
The question
Leeds South West and Morley: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.6
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLeeds South West and Morley | 31.8% | 29.1% | 19.5% | 9.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.4% +6.4 | 21.8% +7.3 | 19.3% +0.2 | 10.8% −1.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Leeds South West and Morley, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 21-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 32% vote share, against 29% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Mark Sewards
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sewards Elected | Labour | 17,681 | 44.0 | — |
| Andrea Jenkyns | Conservative | 9,258 | 23.0 | — |
| James Kendall | Reform UK | 8,187 | 20.4 | — |
| Chris Bell | Green | 2,522 | 6.3 | — |
| Michael Fox | Lib Dems | 1,798 | 4.5 | — |
| Howard Dews | Other | 664 | 1.6 | — |
| Nigel Perry | Other | 99 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029