Riding profile
Wakefield and Rothwell
The question
Wakefield and Rothwell: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWakefield and Rothwell | 30.7% | 29.4% | 15.7% | 9.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.4% +5.3 | 21.8% +7.6 | 19.3% −3.7 | 10.8% −1.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Wakefield and Rothwell, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 31% vote share, against 29% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Simon Lightwood
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Lightwood Elected | Labour | 17,773 | 43.7 | — |
| David Dews | Reform UK | 8,427 | 20.7 | — |
| Arnold Cravan | Conservative | 7,322 | 18.0 | — |
| Stewart Golton | Lib Dems | 3,249 | 8.0 | — |
| Ash Routh | Green | 2,389 | 5.9 | — |
| Keith Mason | Other | 705 | 1.7 | — |
| Brent Hawksley | Other | 606 | 1.5 | — |
| Nicholas Sanders | Other | 185 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029