Riding profile
Leeds East
The question
Leeds East: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Leeds East, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 30% vote share, against 30% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Richard Burgon
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLeeds East | 30.5% | 30.2% | 14.5% | 14.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +5.2 | 21.7% +8.5 | 11.8% +2.7 | 18.9% −4.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Burgon Elected | Labour | 18,610 | 47.3 | — |
| David Dresser | Reform UK | 7,345 | 18.6 | — |
| Sam Firth | Conservative | 6,898 | 17.5 | — |
| Jennifer Norman | Green | 3,506 | 8.9 | — |
| Tobie Abel | Lib Dems | 1,445 | 3.7 | — |
| David Hough | Other | 664 | 1.7 | — |
| Catherine Dobson | Other | 519 | 1.3 | — |
| Niko Omilana | Other | 222 | 0.6 | — |
| Pete Young | Other | 179 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029