Riding profile
Leeds South
The question
Leeds South: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Leeds South, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 36-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 33% vote share, against 27% for the Green Party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Hilary Benn
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLeeds South | 32.8% | 26.8% | 16.1% | 9.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +11.1 | 11.8% +15.0 | 25.3% −9.2 | 18.9% −9.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hilary Benn Elected | Labour | 17,117 | 54.0 | — |
| Ed Carlisle | Green | 5,838 | 18.4 | — |
| Karen Cooksley | Conservative | 4,172 | 13.2 | — |
| Daniel Whetstone | Other | 1,874 | 5.9 | — |
| George Sykes | Lib Dems | 1,340 | 4.2 | — |
| Muhammad Azeem | Other | 719 | 2.3 | — |
| Janet Bickerdike | Other | 341 | 1.1 | — |
| Niko Omilana | Other | 277 | 0.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029