Riding profile
Leeds North East
The question
Leeds North East: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Leeds North East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 36-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 36% vote share, against 21% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Fabian Hamilton
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLeeds North East | 35.8% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 12.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +14.1 | 11.8% +9.4 | 25.3% −7.4 | 18.9% −6.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabian Hamilton Elected | Labour | 23,260 | 51.5 | — |
| Chris Whiteside | Conservative | 7,177 | 15.9 | — |
| Louise Jennings | Green | 5,911 | 13.1 | — |
| Keiran White | Reform UK | 3,426 | 7.6 | — |
| Gary Busuttil | Lib Dems | 2,168 | 4.8 | — |
| Dawud Islam | Other | 2,067 | 4.6 | — |
| Ian Cowling | Other | 574 | 1.3 | — |
| Mike Davies | Other | 259 | 0.6 | — |
| Cordelia Lynan | Other | 125 | 0.3 | — |
| Christopher Nicholson | Other | 109 | 0.2 | — |
| Stewart Hey | Other | 91 | 0.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029