Riding profile
Leeds North West
The question
Leeds North West: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Leeds North West, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 30% vote share, against 24% for Reform UK, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
Katie White
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Competitive
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.0
- P(close race)
- 25%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLeeds North West | 30.5% | 23.9% | 18.2% | 12.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +8.8 | 25.3% −1.4 | 18.9% −0.7 | 11.8% +1.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie White Elected | Labour | 22,882 | 46.0 | — |
| Thomas Averre | Conservative | 10,986 | 22.1 | — |
| Jayne Bond | Reform UK | 5,935 | 11.9 | — |
| Ryk Downes | Lib Dems | 5,641 | 11.3 | — |
| Mick Bradley | Green | 3,231 | 6.5 | — |
| Bob Buxton | Other | 1,024 | 2.1 | — |
| Kathy Bushell | Other | 78 | 0.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029