Riding profile

Huddersfield

UK constituency — England · Urban · yorkshire and the humber

The question

Huddersfield: who wins this toss-up?

Current forecast

Green

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
2.1
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Green 29.5%
  • Labour 27.4%
  • Reform UK 23.5%
  • Conservative 13.5%
  • Lib Dems 4.8%
  • Other 1.0%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Birmingham ErdingtonReform UK60 %0.5 pt margin
  2. Derby NorthLabour62 %0.5 pt margin
  3. Middlesbrough and Thornaby EastReform UK62 %0.5 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Green Labour Reform UK Conservative
HereHuddersfield 29.5%27.4%23.5%13.5%
National averageUnited Kingdom 10.8% +18.7 21.8% +5.6 25.4% −1.9 19.3% −5.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Editorial read

Huddersfield, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 11-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Green Party ahead at 30% vote share, against 27% for Labour, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Harpreet Uppal

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
11.3 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-9.2 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Harpreet Uppal Elected Labour 15,101 37.6
Andrew Cooper Green 10,568 26.3
Tony McGrath Conservative 6,559 16.3
Susan Laird Reform UK 6,196 15.4
Jan Dobrucki Lib Dems 1,741 4.3

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
114,278
Median age
37
Employment rate
71.4%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029