Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

Droitwich and Evesham

Westminster constituency · England · West Midlands

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 4%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 35.6%
  • Reform UK 27.3%
  • Labour 16.2%
  • Green 10.3%
  • Lib Dems 8.1%
  • Other 2.3%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Conservative Reform UK Labour Green
Droitwich and Evesham 35.6%27.3%16.2%10.3%
National averageUnited Kingdom 20.0%+15.5 22.3%+5.0 26.5%−10.3 9.7%+0.6

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population103,730
Median age46
Employment rate75.8%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Nigel Huddleston · Conservative

In office since May 7, 2015. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The Conservatives won by 18.1 points.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 8.3 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Nigel Huddleston Elected Conservative 19,975 40.3
Chippie Kalebe-Nyamongo Labour 10,980 22.1
Sam Bastow Reform UK 9,456 19.1
Oliver Walker Lib Dems 5,131 10.3
Neil Franks Green 3,828 7.7
Andrew Flaxman Other 239 0.5

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shireSNP76%1.2-point gap
  2. Bury St Edmunds and StowmarketReform UK46%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative63%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated