Riding profile

Droitwich and Evesham

UK constituency — England · Mixed · west midlands

The question

Droitwich and Evesham: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Droitwich and Evesham, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 18-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 33% vote share, against 30% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Nigel Huddleston

Sits with Conservative

Since
2015-05-07
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Conservative

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
3.3
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 33.3%
  • Reform UK 30.0%
  • Labour 13.0%
  • Green 11.6%
  • Lib Dems 9.8%
  • Other 2.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Reform UK Labour Green
HereDroitwich and Evesham 33.3%30.0%13.0%11.6%
National averageUnited Kingdom 18.9% +14.4 25.3% +4.7 21.7% −8.6 11.8% −0.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Conservative
Margin
18.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-14.8 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Nigel Huddleston Elected Conservative 19,975 40.3
Chippie Kalebe-Nyamongo Labour 10,980 22.1
Sam Bastow Reform UK 9,456 19.1
Oliver Walker Lib Dems 5,131 10.3
Neil Franks Green 3,828 7.7
Andrew Flaxman Other 239 0.5

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
103,730
Median age
46
Employment rate
75.8%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029