Riding profile
Tewkesbury
The question
Tewkesbury: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereTewkesbury | 35.6% | 24.8% | 23.9% | 9.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.4% +24.2 | 25.4% −0.5 | 19.3% +4.5 | 10.8% −1.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Tewkesbury, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 36% vote share, against 25% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Cameron Thomas
Sits with Lib Dems
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Thomas Elected | Lib Dems | 20,730 | 42.7 | — |
| Laurence Robertson | Conservative | 14,468 | 29.8 | — |
| Byron Davis | Reform UK | 6,000 | 12.4 | — |
| Damola Animashaun | Labour | 4,298 | 8.8 | — |
| Cate Cody | Green | 2,873 | 5.9 | — |
| David Edgar | Other | 170 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029