Riding profile
Tewkesbury
The question
Tewkesbury: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
Tewkesbury, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 34% vote share, against 24% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Cameron Thomas
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereTewkesbury | 34.0% | 23.8% | 23.7% | 9.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +22.4 | 18.9% +4.9 | 25.3% −1.7 | 11.8% −2.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Thomas Elected | Lib Dems | 20,730 | 42.7 | — |
| Laurence Robertson | Conservative | 14,468 | 29.8 | — |
| Byron Davis | Reform UK | 6,000 | 12.4 | — |
| Damola Animashaun | Labour | 4,298 | 8.8 | — |
| Cate Cody | Green | 2,873 | 5.9 | — |
| David Edgar | Other | 170 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029