Riding profile

Redditch

UK constituency — England · Mixed · west midlands

The question

Redditch: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Redditch, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 32% vote share, against 28% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Chris Bloore

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Reform UK

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
3.6
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Reform UK 31.6%
  • Conservative 27.9%
  • Labour 21.4%
  • Green 9.6%
  • Lib Dems 6.3%
  • Other 3.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Reform UK Conservative Labour Green
HereRedditch 31.6%27.9%21.4%9.6%
National averageUnited Kingdom 25.3% +6.2 18.9% +9.0 21.7% −0.2 11.8% −2.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
1.9 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+1.7 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Chris Bloore Elected Labour 14,810 35.0
Rachel Maclean Conservative 14,021 33.1
Julie Allison Reform UK 8,516 20.1
Andrew Fieldsend-Roxborough Lib Dems 2,165 5.1
David Thain Green 2,098 5.0
Mohammed Amin Other 765 1.8

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
99,134
Median age
41
Employment rate
77.0%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029