Riding profile
Redditch
The question
Redditch: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRedditch | 34.3% | 27.3% | 20.3% | 8.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.4% +8.9 | 19.3% +8.0 | 21.8% −1.6 | 10.8% −2.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Redditch, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 34% vote share, against 27% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Chris Bloore
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bloore Elected | Labour | 14,810 | 35.0 | — |
| Rachel Maclean | Conservative | 14,021 | 33.1 | — |
| Julie Allison | Reform UK | 8,516 | 20.1 | — |
| Andrew Fieldsend-Roxborough | Lib Dems | 2,165 | 5.1 | — |
| David Thain | Green | 2,098 | 5.0 | — |
| Mohammed Amin | Other | 765 | 1.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029