Riding profile
Worcester
The question
Worcester: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWorcester | 27.5% | 27.2% | 21.3% | 12.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +5.6 | 25.4% +1.8 | 19.3% +1.9 | 10.8% +2.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Worcester, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 27% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Tom Collins
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Collins Elected | Labour | 18,622 | 40.5 | — |
| Marc Bayliss | Conservative | 11,506 | 25.0 | — |
| Andy Peplow | Reform UK | 6,723 | 14.6 | — |
| Tor Pingree | Green | 4,789 | 10.4 | — |
| Mel Allcott | Lib Dems | 3,986 | 8.7 | — |
| Mark Davies | Other | 280 | 0.6 | — |
| Duncan Murray | Other | 130 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029