Riding profile
West Worcestershire
The question
West Worcestershire: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
West Worcestershire, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 29% vote share, against 25% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Dame Harriett Baldwin
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.5
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Lib Dems | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWest Worcestershire | 29.0% | 25.5% | 21.4% | 12.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +10.1 | 25.3% +0.1 | 11.6% +9.8 | 11.8% +0.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harriett Baldwin Elected | Conservative | 19,783 | 36.2 | — |
| Dan Boatright-Greene | Lib Dems | 13,236 | 24.2 | — |
| Kash Haroon | Labour | 8,335 | 15.2 | — |
| Christopher Edmondson | Reform UK | 7,902 | 14.4 | — |
| Natalie McVey | Green | 5,068 | 9.3 | — |
| Seonaid Barber | Other | 363 | 0.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029