Riding profile
Easington
The question
Easington: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
Easington, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 44% vote share, against 27% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Grahame Morris
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 18.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEasington | 43.7% | 27.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +18.4 | 21.7% +5.6 | 11.8% −3.2 | 18.9% −11.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grahame Morris Elected | Labour | 16,774 | 48.9 | — |
| Lynn Murphy | Reform UK | 10,232 | 29.8 | — |
| Joanne Howey | Conservative | 3,753 | 10.9 | — |
| Mary Cartwright | Other | 1,581 | 4.6 | — |
| Stephen Ashfield | Green | 1,173 | 3.4 | — |
| Tony Ferguson | Lib Dems | 811 | 2.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029