Riding profile
Washington and Gateshead South
The question
Washington and Gateshead South: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
Washington and Gateshead South, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 40% vote share, against 29% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Mrs Sharon Hodgson
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWashington and Gateshead South | 39.6% | 29.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +14.3 | 21.7% +7.5 | 11.8% −0.7 | 18.9% −8.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharon Hodgson Elected | Labour | 17,682 | 47.8 | — |
| Paul Donaghy | Reform UK | 10,769 | 29.1 | — |
| Shaun Parsons | Conservative | 4,654 | 12.6 | — |
| Michal Chantkowski | Green | 1,687 | 4.6 | — |
| Ciaran Morrissey | Lib Dems | 1,602 | 4.3 | — |
| Sharon McLafferty | Other | 627 | 1.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Houghton and Sunderland SouthReform UK Safe seatOpen →
- Jarrow and Gateshead EastReform UK Safe seatOpen →
- Sunderland CentralReform UK Safe seatOpen →
- Newcastle upon Tyne East and WallsendLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Gateshead Central and WhickhamLabour Toss-upOpen →
- Newcastle upon Tyne NorthLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029