Washington and Gateshead South
Westminster constituency · England · North East
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a 71% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.4 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 92%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington and Gateshead South | 38.2% | 36.7% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 26.5%+11.7 | 22.3%+14.4 | 20.0%−9.5 | 9.7%−2.8 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 94,766 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 43 |
| Employment rate | 69.6% |
Current member
Mrs Sharon Hodgson · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 18.7 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 2.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharon Hodgson Elected | Labour | 17,682 | 47.8 |
| Paul Donaghy | Reform UK | 10,769 | 29.1 |
| Shaun Parsons | Conservative | 4,654 | 12.6 |
| Michal Chantkowski | Green | 1,687 | 4.6 |
| Ciaran Morrissey | Lib Dems | 1,602 | 4.3 |
| Sharon McLafferty | Other | 627 | 1.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Houghton and Sunderland South Labour, toss-up
- Jarrow and Gateshead East Labour, toss-up
- Sunderland Central Reform UK, toss-up
- Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend Labour, safe seat
- Gateshead Central and Whickham Labour, safe seat
- Newcastle upon Tyne North Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated