Riding profile
Washington and Gateshead South
The question
Washington and Gateshead South: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWashington and Gateshead South | 42.5% | 31.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.4% +17.1 | 21.8% +9.2 | 19.3% −9.5 | 10.8% −2.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Washington and Gateshead South, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 42% vote share, against 31% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Mrs Sharon Hodgson
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharon Hodgson Elected | Labour | 17,682 | 47.8 | — |
| Paul Donaghy | Reform UK | 10,769 | 29.1 | — |
| Shaun Parsons | Conservative | 4,654 | 12.6 | — |
| Michal Chantkowski | Green | 1,687 | 4.6 | — |
| Ciaran Morrissey | Lib Dems | 1,602 | 4.3 | — |
| Sharon McLafferty | Other | 627 | 1.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Houghton and Sunderland SouthReform UK Safe seatOpen →
- Jarrow and Gateshead EastReform UK Toss-upOpen →
- Sunderland CentralReform UK Safe seatOpen →
- Newcastle upon Tyne East and WallsendLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Gateshead Central and WhickhamLabour Toss-upOpen →
- Newcastle upon Tyne NorthLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029