Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

Epping Forest

Westminster constituency · England · East of England

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.1 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 37.0%
  • Labour 22.9%
  • Reform UK 13.3%
  • Lib Dems 10.8%
  • Green 8.1%
  • Other 7.6%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Conservative Labour Reform UK Lib Dems
Epping Forest 37.0%22.9%13.3%10.8%
National averageUnited Kingdom 20.0%+16.9 26.5%−3.5 22.3%−9.0 9.9%+0.9

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population102,670
Median age41
Employment rate81.0%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Dr Neil Hudson · Conservative

In office since December 12, 2019. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The Conservatives won by 13.6 points.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 14.1 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Neil Hudson Elected Conservative 18,038 43.2
Rosalind Doré Labour 12,356 29.6
Jon Whitehouse Lib Dems 5,268 12.6
Ed Pond Other 3,037 7.3
Simon Heap Green 2,486 6.0
Thomas Hall Other 568 1.4

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shireSNP76%1.2-point gap
  2. Bury St Edmunds and StowmarketReform UK46%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative63%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated