Riding profile
Exeter
The question
Exeter: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereExeter | 30.4% | 24.5% | 21.9% | 10.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +8.6 | 25.4% −0.8 | 10.8% +11.1 | 19.3% −8.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Exeter, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 30% vote share, against 25% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Steve Race
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Race Elected | Labour | 18,225 | 45.3 | — |
| Tessa Tucker | Conservative | 6,288 | 15.6 | — |
| Andrew Bell | Green | 5,907 | 14.7 | — |
| Lee Bunker | Reform UK | 4,914 | 12.2 | — |
| Will Aczel | Lib Dems | 4,201 | 10.4 | — |
| Wiliam Poulter | Other | 466 | 1.2 | — |
| Robert Spain | Other | 194 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029