Riding profile
Exeter
The question
Exeter: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Exeter, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 31% vote share, against 23% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Steve Race
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereExeter | 30.5% | 22.9% | 21.1% | 11.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +8.9 | 25.3% −2.4 | 11.8% +9.2 | 18.9% −7.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Race Elected | Labour | 18,225 | 45.3 | — |
| Tessa Tucker | Conservative | 6,288 | 15.6 | — |
| Andrew Bell | Green | 5,907 | 14.7 | — |
| Lee Bunker | Reform UK | 4,914 | 12.2 | — |
| Will Aczel | Lib Dems | 4,201 | 10.4 | — |
| Wiliam Poulter | Other | 466 | 1.2 | — |
| Robert Spain | Other | 194 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029