Riding profile
Tiverton and Minehead
The question
Tiverton and Minehead: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.5
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereTiverton and Minehead | 31.6% | 29.1% | 25.2% | 8.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.4% +20.3 | 25.4% +3.8 | 19.3% +5.9 | 10.8% −2.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Tiverton and Minehead, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 32% vote share, against 29% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Rachel Gilmour
Sits with Lib Dems
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Gilmour Elected | Lib Dems | 18,326 | 38.6 | — |
| Ian Liddell-Grainger | Conservative | 14,819 | 31.2 | — |
| Fred Keen | Reform UK | 7,787 | 16.4 | — |
| Jonathan Barter | Labour | 4,325 | 9.1 | — |
| Laura Buchanan | Green | 2,234 | 4.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029