Riding profile

Taunton and Wellington

UK constituency — England · Mixed · south west

The question

Taunton and Wellington: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?

Editorial read

Taunton and Wellington, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 39% vote share, against 26% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Gideon Amos

Sits with Lib Dems

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Lib Dems

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
12.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Lib Dems 39.2%
  • Reform UK 26.3%
  • Conservative 19.6%
  • Green 6.9%
  • Labour 6.1%
  • Other 1.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Lib Dems Reform UK Conservative Green
HereTaunton and Wellington 39.2%26.3%19.6%6.9%
National averageUnited Kingdom 11.6% +27.6 25.3% +0.9 18.9% +0.7 11.8% −5.0

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Lib Dems
Margin
23.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-10.8 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Gideon Amos Elected Lib Dems 24,331 48.4
Rebecca Pow Conservative 12,392 24.6
Charles Hansard Reform UK 8,053 16.0
Brenda Weston Labour 3,552 7.1
Ryan Trower Green 1,832 3.6
Rochelle Russell Other 134 0.3

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
109,336
Median age
43
Employment rate
80.4%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029