Riding profile

Honiton and Sidmouth

UK constituency — England · Mixed · south west

The question

Honiton and Sidmouth: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?

Editorial read

Honiton and Sidmouth, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 36% vote share, against 26% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Richard Foord

Sits with Lib Dems

Since
2022-06-23
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Lib Dems

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
9.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Lib Dems 35.6%
  • Reform UK 26.3%
  • Conservative 24.7%
  • Green 6.2%
  • Labour 4.3%
  • Other 2.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Lib Dems Reform UK Conservative Green
HereHoniton and Sidmouth 35.6%26.3%24.7%6.2%
National averageUnited Kingdom 11.6% +24.0 25.3% +0.9 18.9% +5.8 11.8% −5.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Lib Dems
Margin
13.2 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-3.9 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Richard Foord Elected Lib Dems 23,007 45.4
Simon Jupp Conservative 16,307 32.2
Paul Quickenden Reform UK 6,289 12.4
Jake Bonetta Labour 2,947 5.8
Henry Gent Green 1,394 2.8
Vanessa Coxon Other 467 0.9
Hazel Exon Other 244 0.5

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
92,665
Median age
53
Employment rate
83.3%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029