Riding profile
Yeovil
The question
Yeovil: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereYeovil | 38.9% | 28.1% | 19.7% | 7.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.4% +27.5 | 25.4% +2.8 | 19.3% +0.4 | 10.8% −3.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Yeovil, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 39% vote share, against 28% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Adam Dance
Sits with Lib Dems
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Dance Elected | Lib Dems | 23,765 | 48.5 | — |
| Marcus Fysh | Conservative | 11,497 | 23.5 | — |
| Laura Bailhache | Reform UK | 7,677 | 15.7 | — |
| Rebecca Montacute | Labour | 3,002 | 6.1 | — |
| Serena Wootton | Green | 2,403 | 4.9 | — |
| Steve Ashton | Other | 608 | 1.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029