Riding profile
Yeovil
The question
Yeovil: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
Yeovil, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 38% vote share, against 26% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Adam Dance
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereYeovil | 37.7% | 26.2% | 19.4% | 8.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +26.1 | 25.3% +0.8 | 18.9% +0.5 | 11.8% −3.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Dance Elected | Lib Dems | 23,765 | 48.5 | — |
| Marcus Fysh | Conservative | 11,497 | 23.5 | — |
| Laura Bailhache | Reform UK | 7,677 | 15.7 | — |
| Rebecca Montacute | Labour | 3,002 | 6.1 | — |
| Serena Wootton | Green | 2,403 | 4.9 | — |
| Steve Ashton | Other | 608 | 1.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029