Riding profile
Wells and Mendip Hills
The question
Wells and Mendip Hills: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWells and Mendip Hills | 38.7% | 24.8% | 20.2% | 7.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.4% +27.3 | 25.4% −0.6 | 19.3% +0.9 | 10.8% −3.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Wells and Mendip Hills, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 39% vote share, against 25% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Tessa Munt
Sits with Lib Dems
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tessa Munt Elected | Lib Dems | 23,622 | 46.9 | — |
| Meg Powell-Chandler | Conservative | 12,501 | 24.8 | — |
| Helen Hims | Reform UK | 6,611 | 13.1 | — |
| Joe Joseph | Labour | 3,527 | 7.0 | — |
| Peter Welsh | Green | 2,068 | 4.1 | — |
| Abi McGuire | Other | 1,849 | 3.7 | — |
| Craig Clarke | Other | 190 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029