Riding profile
North Somerset
The question
North Somerset: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
North Somerset, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 28% vote share, against 24% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Sadik Al-Hassan
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.6
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorth Somerset | 27.6% | 24.2% | 20.9% | 14.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +8.7 | 25.3% −1.2 | 21.7% −0.8 | 11.6% +3.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadik Al-Hassan Elected | Labour | 19,138 | 35.6 | — |
| Liam Fox | Conservative | 18,499 | 34.4 | — |
| Ash Cartman | Lib Dems | 7,121 | 13.2 | — |
| Alexander Kokkinoftas | Reform UK | 5,602 | 10.4 | — |
| Oscar Livesey-Lodwick | Green | 3,273 | 6.1 | — |
| Suneil Basu | Other | 133 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029