Riding profile
Glastonbury and Somerton
The question
Glastonbury and Somerton: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGlastonbury and Somerton | 35.7% | 27.9% | 23.1% | 9.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.4% +24.4 | 25.4% +2.5 | 19.3% +3.8 | 10.8% −1.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Glastonbury and Somerton, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 36% vote share, against 28% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sarah Dyke
Sits with Lib Dems
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Dyke Elected | Lib Dems | 20,364 | 42.7 | — |
| Faye Purbrick | Conservative | 13,753 | 28.9 | — |
| Tom Carter | Reform UK | 7,678 | 16.1 | — |
| Hal Hooberman | Labour | 3,111 | 6.5 | — |
| Jon Cousins | Green | 2,736 | 5.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029