Riding profile
West Dorset
The question
West Dorset: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
West Dorset, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 40% vote share, against 29% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Edward Morello
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWest Dorset | 40.0% | 29.1% | 14.8% | 7.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +28.4 | 18.9% +10.2 | 25.3% −10.5 | 11.8% −4.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Morello Elected | Lib Dems | 26,999 | 51.3 | — |
| Chris Loder | Conservative | 19,210 | 36.5 | — |
| Donna Lumsden | Labour | 3,086 | 5.9 | — |
| Kelvin Clayton | Green | 2,288 | 4.3 | — |
| Oliver Chisholm | Other | 733 | 1.4 | — |
| Marcus White | Other | 289 | 0.6 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029