Riding profile
Newton Abbot
The question
Newton Abbot: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.5
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Lib Dems | Conservative | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNewton Abbot | 28.7% | 28.3% | 21.1% | 8.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.4% +3.4 | 11.4% +16.9 | 19.3% +1.8 | 21.8% −13.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Newton Abbot, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 29% vote share, against 28% for the Lib Dems, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Martin Wrigley
Sits with Lib Dems
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Wrigley Elected | Lib Dems | 15,201 | 31.7 | — |
| Anne Marie Morris | Conservative | 12,955 | 27.0 | — |
| Christopher Hilditch | Reform UK | 8,494 | 17.7 | — |
| Jacob Cousens | Labour | 7,115 | 14.8 | — |
| Pauline Wynter | Green | 2,083 | 4.3 | — |
| Liam Mullone | Other | 1,924 | 4.0 | — |
| Andre Sabine | Other | 116 | 0.2 | — |
| Annaliese Cude | Other | 104 | 0.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029