Riding profile
Faversham and Mid Kent
The question
Faversham and Mid Kent: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Faversham and Mid Kent, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 31% vote share, against 26% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Helen Whately
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.0
- P(close race)
- 49%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereFaversham and Mid Kent | 31.2% | 26.2% | 17.0% | 13.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +5.8 | 18.9% +7.3 | 21.7% −4.6 | 11.8% +1.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Whately Elected | Conservative | 14,816 | 31.8 | — |
| Mel Dawkins | Labour | 13,347 | 28.6 | — |
| Maxwell Harrison | Reform UK | 9,884 | 21.2 | — |
| Hannah Temple | Green | 4,218 | 9.1 | — |
| Hannah Perkin | Lib Dems | 4,158 | 8.9 | — |
| Lawrence Rustem | Other | 171 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029