Riding profile
Weald of Kent
The question
Weald of Kent: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Weald of Kent, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 17-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 33% vote share, against 30% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Katie Lam
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWeald of Kent | 33.4% | 30.4% | 13.4% | 12.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +14.5 | 25.3% +5.0 | 21.7% −8.2 | 11.8% +1.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Lam Elected | Conservative | 20,202 | 39.8 | — |
| Lenny Rolles | Labour | 11,780 | 23.2 | — |
| Daniel Kersten | Reform UK | 10,208 | 20.1 | — |
| Kate Walder | Green | 4,547 | 9.0 | — |
| John Howson | Lib Dems | 3,975 | 7.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029