Hexham
Westminster constituency · England · North East
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 68%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hexham | 37.2% | 33.5% | 12.0% | 7.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 26.5%+10.8 | 20.0%+13.5 | 22.3%−10.2 | 9.7%−2.1 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 94,195 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 50 |
| Employment rate | 71.9% |
Current member
Joe Morris · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 7.2 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 3.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Morris Elected | Labour | 23,988 | 46.3 |
| Guy Opperman | Conservative | 20,275 | 39.1 |
| Nick Morphet | Green | 2,467 | 4.8 |
| Nick Cott | Lib Dems | 2,376 | 4.6 |
| Chris Whaley | Other | 1,511 | 2.9 |
| William Clouston | Other | 1,211 | 2.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Blaydon and Consett Labour, safe seat
- Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West Labour, safe seat
- North Durham Reform UK, toss-up
- Bishop Auckland Labour, toss-up
- Gateshead Central and Whickham Labour, safe seat
- Newcastle upon Tyne North Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated