Riding profile
Hexham
The question
Hexham: will Labour lose this seat to Conservative?
Editorial read
Hexham, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 32% vote share, against 28% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Joe Morris
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHexham | 31.9% | 27.7% | 18.7% | 9.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +13.0 | 21.7% +6.1 | 25.3% −6.7 | 11.8% −2.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Morris Elected | Labour | 23,988 | 46.3 | — |
| Guy Opperman | Conservative | 20,275 | 39.1 | — |
| Nick Morphet | Green | 2,467 | 4.8 | — |
| Nick Cott | Lib Dems | 2,376 | 4.6 | — |
| Chris Whaley | Other | 1,511 | 2.9 | — |
| William Clouston | Other | 1,211 | 2.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029