Riding profile
High Peak
The question
High Peak: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
High Peak, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 30% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Jon Pearce
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHigh Peak | 29.8% | 26.9% | 24.4% | 12.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +8.2 | 25.3% +1.6 | 18.9% +5.5 | 11.8% +0.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Pearce Elected | Labour | 22,533 | 45.8 | — |
| Robert Largan | Conservative | 14,625 | 29.7 | — |
| Catherine Cullen | Reform UK | 6,959 | 14.1 | — |
| Joanna Collins | Green | 3,382 | 6.9 | — |
| Peter Hirst | Lib Dems | 1,707 | 3.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029