Riding profile
Macclesfield
The question
Macclesfield: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMacclesfield | 28.9% | 27.9% | 24.1% | 9.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +7.1 | 25.4% +2.5 | 19.3% +4.8 | 10.8% −1.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Macclesfield, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 17-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 29% vote share, against 28% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Tim Roca
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Roca Elected | Labour | 24,672 | 46.7 | — |
| David Rutley | Conservative | 15,552 | 29.5 | — |
| Steve Broadhurst | Reform UK | 6,592 | 12.5 | — |
| Amanda Iremonger | Green | 2,493 | 4.7 | — |
| Neil Christian | Lib Dems | 2,482 | 4.7 | — |
| Christopher Wellavize | Other | 779 | 1.5 | — |
| Dickie Fletcher | Other | 222 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029