Riding profile
Macclesfield
The question
Macclesfield: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Macclesfield, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 17-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 29% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Tim Roca
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.4
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMacclesfield | 28.7% | 26.8% | 24.0% | 10.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +7.1 | 25.3% +1.5 | 18.9% +5.1 | 11.8% −1.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Roca Elected | Labour | 24,672 | 46.7 | — |
| David Rutley | Conservative | 15,552 | 29.5 | — |
| Steve Broadhurst | Reform UK | 6,592 | 12.5 | — |
| Amanda Iremonger | Green | 2,493 | 4.7 | — |
| Neil Christian | Lib Dems | 2,482 | 4.7 | — |
| Christopher Wellavize | Other | 779 | 1.5 | — |
| Dickie Fletcher | Other | 222 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029