Riding profile
Kingswinford and South Staffordshire
The question
Kingswinford and South Staffordshire: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.5
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereKingswinford and South Staffordshire | 35.0% | 32.5% | 16.7% | 6.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.4% +9.6 | 19.3% +13.2 | 21.8% −5.1 | 10.8% −4.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Kingswinford and South Staffordshire, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 35% vote share, against 32% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Mike Wood
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Wood Elected | Conservative | 18,199 | 40.3 | — |
| Sally Benton | Labour | 11,896 | 26.3 | — |
| Gary Dale | Reform UK | 9,928 | 22.0 | — |
| Gully Bansal | Lib Dems | 2,080 | 4.6 | — |
| Claire McIlvenna | Green | 2,077 | 4.6 | — |
| Shaz Saleem | Other | 1,000 | 2.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029