Riding profile
Wolverhampton West
The question
Wolverhampton West: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Wolverhampton West, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 18-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 30% vote share, against 25% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Warinder Juss
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.5
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWolverhampton West | 30.1% | 25.1% | 22.3% | 11.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +8.5 | 25.3% −0.2 | 18.9% +3.4 | 11.8% −0.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warinder Juss Elected | Labour | 19,331 | 44.3 | — |
| Mike Newton | Conservative | 11,463 | 26.3 | — |
| Don Brookes | Reform UK | 6,078 | 13.9 | — |
| Andrea Cantrill | Green | 2,550 | 5.8 | — |
| Celia Hibbert | Other | 1,395 | 3.2 | — |
| Phillip Howells | Lib Dems | 1,376 | 3.1 | — |
| Zahid Shah | Other | 888 | 2.0 | — |
| Vikas Chopra | Other | 576 | 1.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029