Riding profile
Wolverhampton South East
The question
Wolverhampton South East: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Wolverhampton South East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 28-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 34% vote share, against 32% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Pat McFadden
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWolverhampton South East | 34.1% | 32.1% | 14.0% | 10.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +8.8 | 21.7% +10.5 | 18.9% −4.9 | 11.8% −1.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat McFadden Elected | Labour | 16,800 | 50.3 | — |
| Carl Hardwick | Reform UK | 7,612 | 22.8 | — |
| Victoria Wilson | Conservative | 5,654 | 16.9 | — |
| Paul Darke | Green | 1,643 | 4.9 | — |
| Athar Warraich | Other | 915 | 2.7 | — |
| Bart Ricketts | Lib Dems | 758 | 2.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029