Riding profile
Wolverhampton South East
The question
Wolverhampton South East: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.4
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWolverhampton South East | 34.9% | 34.5% | 14.6% | 8.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +13.1 | 25.4% +9.1 | 19.3% −4.7 | 10.8% −2.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Wolverhampton South East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 28-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 35% vote share, against 34% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Pat McFadden
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat McFadden Elected | Labour | 16,800 | 50.3 | — |
| Carl Hardwick | Reform UK | 7,612 | 22.8 | — |
| Victoria Wilson | Conservative | 5,654 | 16.9 | — |
| Paul Darke | Green | 1,643 | 4.9 | — |
| Athar Warraich | Other | 915 | 2.7 | — |
| Bart Ricketts | Lib Dems | 758 | 2.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029